Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 8.062126 8.900563 9.814005 10.887330 12.119423 13.495967 15.159244
2026-01-18 7.034539 8.162450 9.475338 11.131877 13.188295 15.686785 18.998231
2026-01-25 6.225340 7.458898 8.958182 10.942550 13.542961 16.897384 21.658741
2026-02-01 5.650744 6.942724 8.567651 10.802949 13.865987 18.022408 24.285021
2026-02-08 5.183286 6.500957 8.205716 10.628133 14.076885 18.968380 26.743621
2026-02-15 4.781311 6.101628 7.851202 10.407504 14.170206 19.720873 28.983591
2026-02-22 4.494789 5.829000 7.636961 10.349045 14.470699 20.788438 31.854886
2026-03-01 4.153457 5.453981 7.247291 9.993810 14.275637 21.045892 33.389727
2026-03-08 3.809891 5.052756 6.790604 9.497068 13.804969 20.792985 33.968634
2026-03-15 3.594651 4.819732 6.559312 9.319461 13.816696 21.327561 36.049833
2026-03-22 3.660660 4.993591 6.933106 10.103808 15.469748 24.873080 44.554595
2026-03-29 3.580274 4.945429 6.967564 10.347083 16.231314 26.928397 50.497799
2026-04-05 3.381678 4.714658 6.715522 10.115386 16.164207 27.475711 53.425279
2026-04-12 3.303907 4.662977 6.739214 10.346194 16.953438 29.797272 60.975019
2026-04-19 3.145721 4.477800 6.538037 10.173683 16.973579 30.568028 64.976961
2026-04-26 3.009912 4.320204 6.371252 10.046762 17.064563 31.495067 69.614272
2026-05-03 2.878247 4.162380 6.194541 9.887731 17.074702 32.245940 73.980756
2026-05-10 2.748225 4.000953 6.002777 9.686917 16.980446 32.749658 77.793613
2026-05-17 2.654711 3.893937 5.896027 9.633688 17.180004 33.953970 84.040005
2026-05-24 2.518790 3.712033 5.653197 9.310049 16.786263 33.703287 85.702413
2026-05-31 2.368170 3.500573 5.350914 8.856944 16.082844 32.623395 84.439556
2026-06-07 2.276501 3.383115 5.205584 8.694781 15.990883 33.044559 88.355703
2026-06-14 2.335264 3.517729 5.504397 9.410298 17.889897 38.829653 113.435551